It is time for the India Meteorological Department to integrate lessons from the brand-new typical
The firm follows a two-stage projection system: showing in April whether there are possibilities of dry spell or any other abnormality and then a 2nd update, in late June, with a more granular look at how the monsoon will likely disperse over the country and whether danger signs are impending. The IMD’s April projection, experience suggests, is not much to go by especially if the firm declares it ‘normal’ as rarely, if ever, do weather models capture indications of an impending shortfall or a large excess in April.
