NEW DELHI: Which party has to play catch-up in these assembly polls and just how much of a mountain does it have to climb to reach the top? The answer to that question depends on what we take as the reference point.
If it’s the last assembly polls, it is BJP that has to do a lot to overhaul AAP, if it’s the 2017 civic polls or the 2019 Lok Sabha election, the roles are reversed. In 2015, AAP’s near-total sweep came on the back of a 54.6% vote share, which comfortably eclipsed BJP’s 32.8% and, of course, the 9.7% that Congress won.
If we take this as the starting point, therefore, the minimum swing needed for BJP to catch up with AAP is
Delhi assembly elections: What it will take for each party to win
Byindianadmin
Feb 8, 2020