Updated.
May 13, 2020 09: 01:39
Stats are main to the coronavirus story.
The main thing we know for particular is that the numbers we’re seeing are insufficient.
We’re going to be looking at the data in a couple of different methods– overall verified cases, deaths, and testing rates– so you can understand why each metric is useful and how they can all tell one part of the COVID-19 story.
The information in this story is upgraded daily. Check back to track the break out in time.
Confirmed cases (Direct scale)
- The US break out is at a various scale to other countries
- Europe stays a significant centre for outbreak
- Russia now has the 2nd largest variety of confirmed cases
The verified number of coronavirus cases is the baseline for most of the charts you have actually been seeing. It demonstrates how numerous cases have been registered in a nation over time. This is a linear chart, which benefits rapidly seeing the scale of the break out in different countries.
As you can see, the United States and Europe have the biggest general break outs, and there are clear differences in how well countries have handled it.
What this chart doesn’t offer a great indicator of is how quickly the infection is spreading out in nations that are at different stages of the break out.
The sheer size of the US break out implies it’s tough to see how other nations like Australia are doing.
A much better way to do that is to utilize a logarithmic chart, which benefits tracking exponential growth, and so permits us to compare countries with different-sized break outs.
Validated cases (log scale)
- Australia’s growth rate has actually slowed substantially
- Despite a later start, the UK is on a trajectory to have a break out as large as Italy and Spain
- The rate of development in the United States break out is slowing
To make it much easier to compare nations, this chart begins with the minute each country passed 100 cases, which aligns their break outs.
That lets us compare the shape of each country’s outbreak: the more vertical the line at any time, the quicker the infection is spreading. When countries get their break outs under control, the line flattens off.
As you can see, the variety of confirmed cases supplies an excellent picture of the outbreak throughout countries, but it is greatly based on how many tests a country is doing: if you don’t evaluate for