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Last month, the federal government’s chief scientific advisor, Sir Patrick Vallance, stated keeping deaths listed below 20,000 would be a ” good result”
The government’s figures do not account for deaths that have actually taken place in care homes, at house, in hospices or in other places in the neighborhood.
Last week that figure shown that there were at least 1,662 deaths, up to 10 April, that were above the hospital-based number.
The truth we have now passed the grim milestone detailed by Sir Patrick Vallance in less than two months is both a catastrophe for the families impacted and a worry to the remainder of the country.
There are strong signs – at least in health centers – that we have passed the peak of deaths.
The truth that may have occurred without the health service being overwhelmed in the method Italy’s was is at least some great news.
Nevertheless, the deaths in care homes, which the everyday figures from federal government do not include, are rising rapidly and could show extremely tough to get under control.
In truth, if we included them we would have passed the 20,000 mark some time ago.
Find out more analysis from Nick here.