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  • Sun. Mar 1st, 2026

‘Unlike Venezuela, Trump can’t control Iran’s response’: Historian Adrien Fontanellaz on why Iran will be difficult

Byindianadmin

Mar 1, 2026
‘Unlike Venezuela, Trump can’t control Iran’s response’: Historian Adrien Fontanellaz on why Iran will be difficult

Unlike the invasion of Venezuela or last year’s attack on Iran, the ongoing offensive against Iran will be much more difficult as President Donald Trump will not be able to predict or control Iran’s retaliation, military historian Adrien Fontanellaz has warned.

Unlike last month’s invasion of Venezuela or last year’s attack on Iran, the ongoing offensive against Iran will be much more difficult as President Donald Trump will not be able to predict or control Iran’s retaliation, military historian Adrien Fontanellaz has warned.

The United States and Israel on Saturday launched a joint offensive against Iran, striking several neighbourhoods in Tehran, including the area where President Masoud Pezeshkian and Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei normally reside. Explosions have also been reported in several other cities like Isfahan and Karaj.

Iran has also begun retaliating and strikes have been reported across Israel. Iranian strikes have also targeted American troops and bases in Qatar, Bahrain, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE). As per reports from the region, both sides continue to attack each other, and the scale of damage and casualties is not known.

In an interview at Rising Bharat Summit, Swiss historian Fontanellaz said that last year’s attack on Iran was for “PR points” and neither side wished to get into a protracted conflict, but that would not be the case this time.

Unlike last time when Iran’s retaliatory strikes at a US base in Qatar were telegraphed so as to seek an offramp, the retaliation this time would not be about signalling but real, said Fontanellaz.

“The danger this time is that there is no control over what the Iranian will do. They have plenty of ways to try to retaliate. Iran has serious and several options to retaliate. For example, they could target American ships in the Persian Gulf. They have, according to the Isr

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